The Five Stages of Collapse -- Survivors' Toolkitについて、ここに記述してください。
http://www.polskawalczaca.com/library/The%20Five%20Stages%20of%20Collapse_Dmitry%20Orlov.pdf
To make the case for the imminent collapse of global industrial civilization, it is necessary to prove two things.
The first is to account for the Earth’s finite endowment of fossil fuels, metal ores, other industrial and agricultural inputs, fresh water and fertile soil, and to demonstrate that many of these resources are either past their all-time peak of production or will soon achieve it.
The second is to prove that, as these resources become too scarce to allow the global industrial economy to grow, the result will be collapse rather than a slow and steady deterioration that could continue for centuries without reaching any conclusive, historical endpoint.